Signal methodology

Red if any of: inflation ≥ 15%, currency down ≥ 5% vs USD (30d), or a critical regulatory alert in the last 60 days. Yellow for inflation 8–15%, currency 2–5% down, or a high-severity alert. Green otherwise. Sources: live FX rates, World Bank FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG, and IdeaToola regulatory feed.