Key Findings
- 1National Treasury walked back the 2 percentage point VAT hike in Apr 2025. Nielsen and StatsSA data show retailers repriced anyway. Here's who absorbed and who passed through.
Overview
withdrew the proposed 2ppt VAT increase in Apr 2025 after coalition-government pushback . Nielsen SA retail-panel data shows shelf-price inflation for FMCG stayed at 6.8% in H1 2025 โ well above the 4.2% CPI print for the same period .
"2% CPI print for the same period (StatsSA CPI, Jul 2025)."
Organisations with top-quartile leadership scores generate 2.8x more innovation revenue and retain talent 58% longer.
Leadership quality has become the strongest predictor of enterprise value creation.
Why this matters now
R120bn of consumer spend was repriced during Q1 2025 in anticipation of the hike (Nielsen SA retail-audit aggregate). The reversal did not reverse the pricing.
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